Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 90.75 Median Price Target: 95.85
Price - 52 Week High 101.96 Diff from Prev Close: 5.10
Price - 52 Week Low 77.53 % Difference: 5.62%
Price Date (Latest): Nov 12, 2018    

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.57

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.70
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.14
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 27.51
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 42.67
Yield (%): 3.46

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.16 3.30 3.01 3.17 4 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.07 3.20 2.92 3.09 6 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 2.91 2.99 2.87 2.90 4 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.76 0.77 0.74 0.77 3 2 -- 1.32
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 1 -- 1 -7.35
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 1 1 -- --
Long Term Growth 5.40 5.40 5.40 5.40 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.70 2.79 32.40
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.54 14.57
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 1.79 -12.69
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.02 0.75 35.40
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.75 0.69 8.17
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 0.65 7.28
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.63 0.70 134.53

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 17.37 17.37 17.37 17.37 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 17.44 17.44 17.44 17.44 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 78.74 78.74 78.74 78.74 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 78.74 78.74 78.74 78.74 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 17.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 16.83 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 18.94 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 18.57 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 18.59 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 18.66 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.45
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.01 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 4.73 4.73 4.73 4.73 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.28 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4.45 4.46 -0.22
Annual 12/1/16 4.29 4.30 -0.23
Annual 12/1/15 3.02 2.87 5.23
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.29 1.12 15.18
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.10 1.12 -1.79

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.65 4.07 3.28 3.68 6 2 1 1.55
Annual 12/1/19 3.54 3.77 3.20 3.57 9 -- 1 0.39
Annual 12/1/18 3.34 3.44 3.12 3.36 10 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.84 0.86 0.78 0.86 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.83 0.86 0.80 0.83 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.85 0.90 0.80 0.85 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.85 0.90 0.80 0.85 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.24 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.86 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.86 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.78 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 541.61
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 562.78 657.00 512.82 518.53 3 -- 2 -0.30
Annual 12/1/19 608.15 634.00 543.73 626.28 5 -- 2 -0.25
Annual 12/1/18 583.32 589.90 572.13 587.16 5 -- 1 0.13
Quarterly 12/1/18 155.61 156.17 154.95 155.70 3 -- 1 -0.15
Quarterly 3/1/19 145.63 148.28 143.61 145.00 3 1 -- -0.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 152.58 157.70 145.39 154.66 3 1 -- 1.19
Quarterly 9/1/19 159.39 164.50 151.08 162.58 3 -- -- -2.61

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 541.61 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 449.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 294.66 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 153.59 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 144.72 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 133.91 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 141.11 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 734.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 909.19 940.66 876.60 909.75 4 1 1 1.76
Annual 12/1/19 845.13 869.00 811.60 851.00 7 2 3 -0.39
Annual 12/1/18 788.15 797.95 756.80 792.00 7 2 2 0.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 203.99 207.97 197.30 205.35 4 1 1 0.34
Quarterly 3/1/19 202.84 204.30 201.38 202.84 2 2 -- 1.72
Quarterly 6/1/19 206.14 213.70 198.58 206.14 2 2 -- 1.61
Quarterly 9/1/19 212.33 220.30 204.35 212.33 2 1 -- -3.76

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 734.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 632.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 428.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 205.87 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 196.61 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 185.66 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 190.27 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.09 3.16 3.01 3.09 2 2 -- 0.97
Annual 12/1/19 3.06 3.20 2.92 3.08 5 -- 1 -0.46
Annual 12/1/18 2.91 2.99 2.87 2.90 4 1 1 0.86
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.75 0.77 0.71 0.77 4 2 -- 2.33
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 1 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.76 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.02 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.75 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.69 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,498.53
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4,815.87 5,455.80 4,175.94 4,815.87 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 4,585.47 5,178.36 3,992.58 4,585.47 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 4,331.74 4,888.78 3,774.70 4,331.74 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 4,820.96 4,820.96 4,820.96 4,820.96 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 4,870.97 4,870.97 4,870.97 4,870.97 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 4,911.21 4,911.21 4,911.21 4,911.21 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 4,915.50 4,915.50 4,915.50 4,915.50 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,009.57 12.20
Annual 12/1/16 4,262.37 3,978.40 7.14
Annual 12/1/15 3,459.82 3,376.79 2.46
Quarterly 9/1/18 4,716.08 4,763.62 -1.00
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,478.84 4,525.55 -1.03
Quarterly 12/1/17 4,498.53 4,396.68 2.32

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 470.91
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 389.44 428.00 287.54 421.11 4 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 403.53 456.01 325.86 410.70 7 1 1 2.07
Annual 12/1/18 388.17 451.02 345.51 386.00 7 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 103.61 113.19 100.20 101.90 5 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 95.38 100.93 91.60 93.60 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 104.33 111.91 97.77 103.30 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 109.58 120.15 100.89 107.70 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 470.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 366.13 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 189.47 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 130.42 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 95.15 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 88.26 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 207.88 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 549.11 626.00 472.22 549.11 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 512.08 571.00 453.15 512.08 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 20.49
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 18.19 18.19 18.19 18.19 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 18.21 19.40 17.01 18.21 2 1 1 1.04
Annual 12/1/18 16.57 16.90 16.23 16.57 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 19.05 19.05 19.05 19.05 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 17.95 17.95 17.95 17.95 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 18.95 18.95 18.95 18.95 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 19.85 19.85 19.85 19.85 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 20.49 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 16.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 9.90 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 15.04 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 9.11 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 967.23
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,253.52 1,362.77 1,094.00 1,278.65 4 1 1 3.64
Annual 12/1/19 1,176.15 1,296.47 1,070.10 1,144.12 7 3 2 5.38
Annual 12/1/18 1,038.44 1,044.47 1,032.30 1,038.93 6 1 1 -0.13
Quarterly 12/1/18 271.26 299.12 261.40 266.72 7 1 1 -0.31
Quarterly 3/1/19 280.26 306.45 260.20 271.93 6 2 1 2.42
Quarterly 6/1/19 286.63 314.94 266.61 279.58 6 2 1 2.50
Quarterly 9/1/19 289.12 322.26 272.86 283.89 5 1 -- -0.72

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 967.23 963.84 0.35
Annual 12/1/16 864.74 869.37 -0.53
Annual 12/1/15 676.14 664.45 1.76
Quarterly 9/1/18 306.95 271.05 13.25
Quarterly 6/1/18 258.13 260.98 -1.09
Quarterly 3/1/18 247.89 254.24 -2.50
Quarterly 12/1/17 246.35 247.50 -0.46

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 31.15 27.04 1.15
FY1 29.57 26.91 1.10
FY2 28.72 25.44 1.13

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -21.27 26.55 0.62
FY2/FY1 5.36 6.05 0.99
FY3/FY2 5.36 6.05 0.99

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