Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 82.20 Median Price Target: 87.87
Price - 52 Week High 88.56 Diff from Prev Close: 5.67
Price - 52 Week Low 71.34 % Difference: 6.89%
Price Date (Latest): Feb 16, 2018    

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.63

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.91
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: 2.94
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 19.07
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 41.82
Yield (%): 3.58

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2.97 3.12 2.83 2.96 5 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 2.88 3.14 2.76 2.84 6 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.79 2.92 2.64 2.81 4 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.70 0.76 0.65 0.69 4 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.68 0.70 0.66 0.68 2 1 1 -0.74
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.72 0.72 0.71 0.72 2 1 1 -1.40
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.74 0.74 0.73 0.74 2 1 1 --
Long Term Growth 5.40 5.40 5.40 5.40 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 2.54 14.57
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 1.79 -12.69
Annual 12/1/14 1.53 1.58 -2.96
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.74 0.72 2.42
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.69 0.65 5.50
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.64 0.57 11.50
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.65 0.55 18.72

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 17.83
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 18.33 18.33 18.33 18.33 1 -- 1 -1.47
Annual 12/1/18 78.05 78.05 78.05 78.05 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 77.51 77.51 77.51 77.51 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 73.92 73.92 73.92 73.92 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 75.20 75.20 75.20 75.20 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 76.62 76.62 76.62 76.62 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 78.05 78.05 78.05 78.05 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 17.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 16.83 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 14.93 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 17.58 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 17.64 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 17.76 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 17.83 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.29
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4.69 4.69 4.69 4.69 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 4.57 4.57 4.57 4.57 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 4.46 4.46 4.46 4.46 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 4.29 4.30 -0.23
Annual 12/1/15 3.02 2.87 5.23
Annual 12/1/14 2.78 3.50 -20.57
Quarterly 9/1/17 1.21 1.16 4.31
Quarterly 6/1/17 1.32 1.08 22.22
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.85 1.01 -15.84
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.18 0.99 19.19

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 3.52 3.86 3.12 3.49 6 1 2 -1.15
Annual 12/1/18 3.30 3.53 3.12 3.29 8 1 3 -3.15
Annual 12/1/17 3.14 3.20 3.12 3.12 8 -- 3 -2.10
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.80 0.86 0.78 0.78 5 1 1 0.50
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.79 0.82 0.78 0.78 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.81 0.84 0.78 0.82 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 2.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.24 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 1.81 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.78 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.78 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 449.84
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 474.49 504.57 441.11 477.78 3 1 1 -2.14
Annual 12/1/18 533.61 581.64 486.97 532.91 4 -- 2 -0.09
Annual 12/1/17 520.86 538.39 472.76 536.15 4 -- 2 -0.16
Quarterly 12/1/17 129.89 137.59 118.54 133.54 3 -- 2 -0.84
Quarterly 3/1/18 130.48 137.36 117.20 136.89 3 2 -- 0.97
Quarterly 6/1/18 134.92 144.51 120.37 139.88 3 1 1 -0.02
Quarterly 9/1/18 139.39 153.16 126.50 138.50 3 -- 2 -0.36

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 449.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 294.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 278.47 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 139.88 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 136.41 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 124.20 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 123.18 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 632.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 813.23 870.50 725.24 825.71 6 2 -- 0.17
Annual 12/1/18 775.31 816.70 700.79 778.91 10 2 -- 0.10
Annual 12/1/17 730.65 753.60 696.90 732.95 6 1 1 -0.06
Quarterly 12/1/17 184.86 194.90 170.90 187.69 7 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 187.10 194.00 169.99 190.20 5 2 -- 0.49
Quarterly 6/1/18 193.68 203.10 173.61 199.20 5 2 -- 0.07
Quarterly 9/1/18 199.76 212.30 180.19 205.50 5 1 1 -0.07

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 632.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 428.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 393.54 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 187.96 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 183.04 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 173.64 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 172.34 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.91
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 2.89 2.95 2.83 2.89 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 2.87 3.14 2.73 2.81 4 1 1 0.26
Annual 12/1/17 2.82 3.19 2.60 2.75 4 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.83 1.24 0.66 0.71 4 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 1 1 -- 4.35
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 2.91 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.56 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 1.53 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 0.74 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.69 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.64 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.65 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 4,262.37
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 4,299.99 4,487.77 4,112.22 4,299.99 2 -- 1 -3.34
Annual 12/1/18 4,157.43 4,517.12 3,797.75 4,157.43 2 -- 1 -3.83
Annual 12/1/17 4,009.57 4,396.68 3,622.45 4,009.57 2 -- 1 -3.79
Quarterly 12/1/17 4,396.68 4,396.68 4,396.68 4,396.68 1 -- 1 -0.78
Quarterly 3/1/18 4,399.02 4,399.02 4,399.02 4,399.02 1 -- 1 -0.99
Quarterly 6/1/18 4,468.60 4,468.60 4,468.60 4,468.60 1 -- 1 -1.22
Quarterly 9/1/18 4,509.35 4,509.35 4,509.35 4,509.35 1 -- 1 -0.96

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 4,262.37 3,978.40 7.14
Annual 12/1/15 3,459.82 3,376.79 2.46
Annual 12/1/14 2,322.22 2,254.30 3.01
Quarterly 9/1/17 4,249.28 4,429.28 -4.06
Quarterly 6/1/17 4,257.06 4,398.65 -3.22
Quarterly 3/1/17 4,262.14 4,306.75 -1.04
Quarterly 12/1/16 4,262.37 4,272.46 -0.24

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 366.13
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 362.92 406.51 272.63 380.90 5 1 -- 0.39
Annual 12/1/18 369.96 397.22 316.53 372.00 7 1 -- 0.16
Annual 12/1/17 368.24 436.44 350.31 358.87 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 102.78 167.37 87.26 89.17 6 1 -- 0.03
Quarterly 3/1/18 87.01 88.82 83.60 88.63 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 93.57 95.23 91.49 94.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 98.33 103.09 94.62 97.26 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 366.13 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 189.47 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 178.36 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 93.76 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 87.01 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 82.28 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 82.40 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/18 431.13 431.13 431.13 431.13 1 -- 1 0.01
Annual 12/1/17 419.82 419.82 419.82 419.82 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 16.90
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 15.46 16.57 14.34 15.46 2 1 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 15.45 16.48 14.42 15.45 2 1 1 --
Annual 12/1/17 11.69 15.96 3.57 15.53 3 -- 2 -0.43
Quarterly 12/1/17 15.04 15.04 15.04 15.04 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 14.97 14.97 14.97 14.97 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/18 15.36 15.36 15.36 15.36 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 15.82 15.82 15.82 15.82 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 16.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 9.90 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 10.20 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 16.91 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 15.61 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 14.69 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 14.83 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 864.74
FY0 End Date: 12/1/16
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 1,111.01 1,241.06 1,016.60 1,093.45 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 1,023.78 1,104.59 965.30 1,016.35 8 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 963.84 977.75 921.10 969.90 8 1 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/17 247.50 256.87 232.50 249.89 7 1 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/18 251.16 278.31 232.60 244.92 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 259.38 283.50 240.20 255.01 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 266.72 289.20 248.00 262.22 6 1 -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 864.74 869.37 -0.53
Annual 12/1/15 676.14 664.45 1.76
Annual 12/1/14 647.16 628.34 2.99
Quarterly 9/1/17 248.59 247.52 0.43
Quarterly 6/1/17 240.80 238.48 0.97
Quarterly 3/1/17 231.49 232.02 -0.23
Quarterly 12/1/16 229.01 228.05 0.42

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 28.56 223.29 0.13
FY1 27.71 81.52 0.34
FY2 26.95 36.21 0.74

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 3.01 13.15 0.91
FY2/FY1 3.05 7.25 0.96
FY3/FY2 3.05 7.25 0.96

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